By René-Pier Deshaies-Gélinas

The big thing we need to understand when using Fudge/Fate Dice is that the chances of getting a +4/-4 versus getting a 0 are drastically very different.

Outlining the results in a graph where the vertical axis represents the chances of getting a result and where the horizontal axis lists all the possible results, you would get something that looks like this:

So you technically have a 1.23% (1/81) chance of getting a -4/+4 but a 23.46% chance of getting a 0.

Where it gets crazy is when you start thinking about the chances of getting a 0 or higher?.

Because the probabilities are going to stack, you get 61.73% chances to get a 0 or higher.

If you were playing with a D20, the graph would look something like this:

That flat line means that basically, you have equal chances of getting each result separately which, by consequence means that the outcome of a roll tend to also be "flatter".

Closing Thoughts

Since Fudge/Fate Dice statistics have this bell curve quality to them, the end result will have a big tendency to stay in the -1 ==> 1 range. This makes even getting something like a +2 exciting.

Getting a +4 on the other hand is truly cause for celebration.

More Stats

Result	Odd of rolling	Odd of rolling this or higher
-4	1.23%	100%
-3	4.94%	98.77%
-2	12.35%	93.83%
-1	19.75%	81.48%
0	23.46%	61.73%
1	19.75%	38.27%
2	12.35%	18.52%
3	4.94%	6.17%
4	1.23%	1.23%